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City of Canada Bay CouncilPopulation forecast

Drummoyne

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Drummoyne indicate a 4.5% increase in population under working age, a 27.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Drummoyne is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Drummoyne - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47906.37965.77815.5-9
5 to 96625.36724.86494.6-13
10 to 145524.46274.56144.4+62
15 to 195034.06424.66414.6+138
20 to 245944.77355.37335.2+139
25 to 299697.79837.19847.0+15
30 to 341,2159.71,1508.31,1458.1-70
35 to 391,0468.31,0747.71,0557.5+9
40 to 449807.89576.99306.6-50
45 to 498606.88956.48686.2+8
50 to 548136.58746.38736.2+60
55 to 597295.88736.38576.1+128
60 to 646445.17875.77835.6+139
65 to 696745.47255.27595.4+85
70 to 745254.26094.46734.8+148
75 to 793312.64963.65754.1+244
80 to 843002.44203.04633.3+163
85 and over3963.15924.36884.9+292
Total persons12,583100.013,907100.014,071100.0+1,488
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), July 2021.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Drummoyne was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 9.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 85 and over, which is expected to increase by 196 and account for 4.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,150 persons.

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