City of Canada Bay CouncilPopulation forecast
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City of Canada Bay

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Canada Bay indicate a 4.9% increase in population under working age, a 32.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 10.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Canada Bay is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Canada Bay - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45,9226.46,2686.07,1706.0+1,248
5 to 94,9905.44,9784.85,5984.7+608
10 to 144,1014.44,4964.34,9934.2+892
15 to 194,2324.65,1905.05,6974.8+1,465
20 to 246,9097.57,4397.18,6787.2+1,769
25 to 298,9999.79,5999.211,4239.5+2,424
30 to 349,0199.89,3529.010,9069.1+1,887
35 to 397,2207.88,1337.89,3347.8+2,114
40 to 446,6407.27,1116.87,9746.7+1,334
45 to 495,9676.56,5876.37,4366.2+1,469
50 to 545,6046.16,4306.27,0215.9+1,417
55 to 595,1605.65,8675.66,4755.4+1,315
60 to 644,4224.85,3965.26,0625.1+1,640
65 to 694,0914.44,8694.75,4534.5+1,362
70 to 743,0113.34,1254.04,9234.1+1,912
75 to 792,3202.53,5653.44,2303.5+1,910
80 to 841,7511.92,4612.43,2592.7+1,508
85 and over2,0242.22,4712.43,2272.7+1,203
Total persons92,382100.0104,336100.0119,858100.0+27,476

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 3,227 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 3,259 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 4,230 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 4,923 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 5,453 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 6,062 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 6,475 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 7,021 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 7,436 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 7,974 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 9,334 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 10,906 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 11,423 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 8,678 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 5,697 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 4,993 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 5,598 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 7,170 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 2,471 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 2,461 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 3,565 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 4,125 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 4,869 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 5,396 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 5,867 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 6,430 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 6,587 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 7,111 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 8,133 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 9,352 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 9,599 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 7,439 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 5,190 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 4,496 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 4,978 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 6,268 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 2,024 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,751 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 2,320 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 3,011 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 4,091 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 4,422 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 5,160 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 5,604 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 5,967 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 6,640 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 7,220 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 9,019 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 8,999 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 6,909 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 4,232 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 4,101 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 4,990 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 5,922
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 755 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 798 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 665 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 798 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 584 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 666 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 609 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 591 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 849 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 864 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 1,201 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 1,555 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 1,824 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 1,239 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 507 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 496 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 620 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 902 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 447 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 710 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,245 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,114 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 778 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 974 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 707 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 826 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 620 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 471 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 913 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 333 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 600 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 530 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 958 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 395 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -12 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 346
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Canada Bay was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 9.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 1,245 and account for 3.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 9,599 persons.

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