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City of Canada Bay CouncilPopulation forecast

City of Canada Bay Council

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Canada Bay Council indicate a 4.9% increase in population under working age, a 32.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 10.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Canada Bay Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Canada Bay Council - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45,9226.46,2686.07,1706.0+1,248
5 to 94,9905.44,9784.85,5984.7+608
10 to 144,1014.44,4964.34,9934.2+892
15 to 194,2324.65,1905.05,6974.8+1,465
20 to 246,9097.57,4397.18,6787.2+1,769
25 to 298,9999.79,5999.211,4239.5+2,424
30 to 349,0199.89,3529.010,9069.1+1,887
35 to 397,2207.88,1337.89,3347.8+2,114
40 to 446,6407.27,1116.87,9746.7+1,334
45 to 495,9676.56,5876.37,4366.2+1,469
50 to 545,6046.16,4306.27,0215.9+1,417
55 to 595,1605.65,8675.66,4755.4+1,315
60 to 644,4224.85,3965.26,0625.1+1,640
65 to 694,0914.44,8694.75,4534.5+1,362
70 to 743,0113.34,1254.04,9234.1+1,912
75 to 792,3202.53,5653.44,2303.5+1,910
80 to 841,7511.92,4612.43,2592.7+1,508
85 and over2,0242.22,4712.43,2272.7+1,203
Total persons92,382100.0104,336100.0119,858100.0+27,476
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Canada Bay Council was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 9.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 1,245 and account for 3.4% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 9,599 persons.

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