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Broken Hill CityPopulation forecast

Broken Hill City

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Broken Hill City indicate a 7.6% increase in population under working age, a 6.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Broken Hill City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Broken Hill City - Total persons201620262046Change between 2016 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0545.81,1706.11,0675.8+13
5 to 91,0685.91,1325.91,0605.8-8
10 to 149875.41,0435.59975.4+10
15 to 199835.49655.19275.1-56
20 to 241,0525.81,0865.71,0205.6-32
25 to 291,1976.61,2846.71,1696.4-28
30 to 341,0445.81,2396.51,1426.2+98
35 to 398844.91,1255.91,0615.8+177
40 to 441,0145.61,1295.91,0815.9+67
45 to 491,1286.21,1446.01,1276.1-1
50 to 541,2426.91,2126.41,1716.4-71
55 to 591,3997.71,2486.51,1896.5-210
60 to 641,2346.81,2316.51,1656.4-69
65 to 691,1296.21,1956.31,0895.9-40
70 to 748874.91,0065.39935.4+106
75 to 796733.78374.48664.7+193
80 to 845433.05683.06703.7+127
85 and over5963.34622.45463.0-50
Total persons18,114100.019,075100.018,340100.0+226
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), April 2022.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Broken Hill City was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 241 and account for 5.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,284 persons.

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