City of BoroondaraPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Canterbury

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Canterbury indicate a 7.2% increase in population under working age, a 20.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.7% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Boroondara is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Canterbury - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 3273.84294.84624.8+135
5 to 9 5075.85215.85696.0+62
10 to 14 5916.85776.46596.9+68
15 to 19 6717.76487.27007.3+29
20 to 24 6657.75906.66296.6-36
25 to 29 4244.94414.94564.8+32
30 to 34 3403.93513.93583.7+17
35 to 39 3403.93704.14024.2+61
40 to 44 4885.64895.45315.6+43
45 to 49 6047.05436.05936.2-11
50 to 54 6537.55676.35966.2-56
55 to 59 6317.35886.55826.1-48
60 to 64 5226.05516.15115.4-12
65 to 69 5165.95025.64714.9-45
70 to 74 3964.64755.34945.2+98
75 to 79 2873.34915.55045.3+217
80 to 84 2733.13654.14524.7+179
85 and over4575.34895.45746.0+117
Total persons8,693100.08,986100.09,542100.0+849

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, May 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 574 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 452 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 504 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 494 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 471 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 511 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 582 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 596 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 593 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 531 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 402 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 358 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 456 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 629 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 700 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 659 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 569 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 462 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 489 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 365 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 491 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 475 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 502 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 551 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 588 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 567 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 543 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 489 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 370 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 351 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 441 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 590 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 648 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 577 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 521 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 429 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 457 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 273 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 287 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 396 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 516 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 522 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 631 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 653 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 604 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 488 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 340 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 340 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 424 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 665 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 671 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 591 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 507 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 327
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 85 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 88 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 13 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 18 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: -31 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: -41 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: -6 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 29 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 50 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 42 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 31 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 7 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 15 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 39 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 52 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 81 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 48 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 33 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 92 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 204 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 80 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -14 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 29 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -43 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -86 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -62 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 1 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 30 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 11 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -75 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: -24 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -14 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 14 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 101
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Canterbury was ages 15 to 19 , which accounted for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 204 and account for 5.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 648 persons.

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