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Blacktown City CouncilPopulation forecast

Marsden Park

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Marsden Park indicate a 43.0% increase in females under working age, a 131.3% increase in females of retirement age, and a 83.0% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Blacktown City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Marsden Park - Total females202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 486211.71,0157.91,4387.3+576
5 to 980210.81,0948.51,4597.4+658
10 to 145417.31,0448.11,3106.7+769
15 to 193104.28006.21,0515.4+741
20 to 242743.76985.49554.9+681
25 to 295557.56995.41,0245.2+469
30 to 3499813.51,0398.11,5087.7+510
35 to 391,10114.91,38610.81,8679.5+766
40 to 445958.01,49111.61,7989.2+1,204
45 to 493384.61,1659.11,5648.0+1,226
50 to 541872.56535.11,3336.8+1,146
55 to 591882.54033.11,1685.9+980
60 to 642132.93752.91,0275.2+814
65 to 691832.53572.86703.4+487
70 to 741321.82511.94632.4+331
75 to 79801.11801.43491.8+269
80 to 84270.41210.92821.4+255
85 and over100.1900.73701.9+360
Total persons7,396100.012,861100.019,636100.0+12,240
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), April 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Marsden Park was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 14.9% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 897 and account for 11.6% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 1,491 females.

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