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Blacktown City CouncilPopulation forecast

Blacktown City Council

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Blacktown City Council is forecast to grow from 111,588 in 2016 to 213,269 in 2041, with the average household size falling from 3.19 to 3.12 by 2041.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Blacktown City Council. The period 2016 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Blacktown City CouncilForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)--55,20365,71372,11858,33744,614
Average annual change--2.99%3.07%2.90%2.07%1.45%
Average household size3.
Population in non private dwellings3,4454,1554,9015,4766,0516,626
Dwelling occupancy rate96.7395.5294.5794.4194.7995.70
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), August 2021.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Blacktown City Council was estimated to be 347,983 people. It is expected to increase by over 193,034 people to 541,017 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of 2.99%. This is based on an increase of over 62,169 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 3.19 to 3.15 by 2031.

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