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Blacktown City CouncilPopulation forecast

Grantham Farm

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Grantham Farm indicate a 28.3% increase in males under working age, a 303.8% increase in males of retirement age, and a 39.9% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Blacktown City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Grantham Farm - Total males202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 426114.12489.33158.9+54
5 to 91759.52338.72807.9+105
10 to 141015.42087.82456.9+144
15 to 19794.31836.82166.1+137
20 to 241045.61575.92115.9+107
25 to 2920310.91555.82316.5+29
30 to 3425813.91937.22667.5+8
35 to 3922812.32138.02938.2+65
40 to 441568.42469.22908.2+135
45 to 491085.82318.72647.4+156
50 to 54472.51505.62246.3+177
55 to 59492.71395.22196.2+170
60 to 64351.91063.91835.2+148
65 to 69110.6602.21042.9+93
70 to 7480.4481.8702.0+62
75 to 79120.7421.6561.6+43
80 to 8460.3341.3421.2+37
85 and over150.8261.0421.2+27
Total persons1,855100.02,673100.03,552100.0+1,696
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), April 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Grantham Farm was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 14.1% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 45 to 49, which is expected to increase by 123 and account for 8.7% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 248 males.

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