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City of Greater BendigoPopulation forecast

City of Greater Bendigo

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for City of Greater Bendigo indicate a 24.5% increase in population under working age, a 31.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 15.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Greater Bendigo is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Greater Bendigo - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47,4886.79,2286.910,3196.6+2,831
5 to 97,5206.79,3376.910,4876.7+2,967
10 to 146,9066.28,7246.510,2346.6+3,328
15 to 197,2546.58,7066.510,1196.5+2,865
20 to 247,9937.28,3626.29,5586.1+1,565
25 to 297,3716.68,0416.09,0035.8+1,631
30 to 347,0046.38,4616.39,3976.0+2,394
35 to 396,4685.88,7586.59,9486.4+3,480
40 to 446,7706.18,5196.39,9856.4+3,215
45 to 496,8906.27,9105.99,7056.2+2,815
50 to 547,1476.47,8295.89,3406.0+2,193
55 to 597,2356.57,7465.88,8065.7+1,571
60 to 646,5935.97,6385.78,4715.4+1,878
65 to 696,1115.57,2235.47,8885.1+1,777
70 to 744,4824.06,1894.67,1774.6+2,695
75 to 793,4703.15,2343.96,2934.0+2,823
80 to 842,4212.23,5292.64,8283.1+2,408
85 and over2,6582.43,0322.34,0372.6+1,379
Total persons111,782100.0134,466100.0155,596100.0+43,813
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in City of Greater Bendigo was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 2,290 and account for 6.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 9,337 persons.

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