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City of Greater BendigoPopulation forecast

City of Greater Bendigo

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Greater Bendigo is 30-34 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Greater Bendigo depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Substantial new housing opportunities across the City, especially in the growth areas, such as Maiden Gully, Strathfieldsaye, Huntly, White Hills - Jackass Flat, Kangaroo Flat-Big Hill and later in the forecast period - Marong - Rural West, which are expected to attract predominantly young couples looking to purchase their first home and start a family and also young and established families (0-14 and 30-49 years)
  • A minimal net gain of young adults in their late teens and early twenties driven by a portion leaving home (expected in many areas), in search of employment and education opportunities elsewhere though it can be expected that some will remain in the City for education purposes. There is an in-flow of people in the same age cohorts who come to the City of Bendigo from surrounding rural areas for similar education and employment opportunities
  • Strong migration gain to the City from surrounding rural areas, especially in older age groups (mature adults and early retirees aged 55-69 years), possibly downsizing, moving to retirement communities or to be closer to services
  • >Loss of elderly persons aged 75-84 is attributed to movement of frail aged into age care facilities (non-private dwellings) and a decrease of elderly people in those age groups migrating to the City in the later years of the forecast period.

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