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Former City of Botany Bay

Components of population change

The greatest population change for Former City of Botany Bay is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 12,893 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Former City of Botany BayForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--3,5844,5774,8404,861
Deaths--1,7871,9141,9742,022
Natural increase/decrease--1,7972,6632,8662,839
Net migration--11,0694,000-360-1,331
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--2890400

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 165 2035 forecast population change: 329 2034 forecast population change: 334 2033 forecast population change: 330 2032 forecast population change: 349 2031 forecast population change: 334 2030 forecast population change: 391 2029 forecast population change: 553 2028 forecast population change: 585 2027 forecast population change: 681 2026 forecast population change: 849 2025 forecast population change: 1,064 2024 forecast population change: 1,271 2023 forecast population change: 1,513 2022 forecast population change: 2,056 2021 forecast population change: 2,485 2020 forecast population change: 2,548 2019 forecast population change: 2,532 2018 forecast population change: 2,609 2017 forecast population change: 2,720
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 564 2035 Natural increase: 566 2034 Natural increase: 568 2033 Natural increase: 570 2032 Natural increase: 572 2031 Natural increase: 574 2030 Natural increase: 575 2029 Natural increase: 574 2028 Natural increase: 573 2027 Natural increase: 571 2026 Natural increase: 564 2025 Natural increase: 553 2024 Natural increase: 539 2023 Natural increase: 519 2022 Natural increase: 488 2021 Natural increase: 449 2020 Natural increase: 407 2019 Natural increase: 362 2018 Natural increase: 315 2017 Natural increase: 264 2036 Total deaths: 408 2035 Total deaths: 406 2034 Total deaths: 405 2033 Total deaths: 402 2032 Total deaths: 400 2031 Total deaths: 398 2030 Total deaths: 397 2029 Total deaths: 395 2028 Total deaths: 393 2027 Total deaths: 391 2026 Total deaths: 388 2025 Total deaths: 386 2024 Total deaths: 383 2023 Total deaths: 381 2022 Total deaths: 376 2021 Total deaths: 370 2020 Total deaths: 363 2019 Total deaths: 358 2018 Total deaths: 350 2017 Total deaths: 346 2036 Total births: 972 2035 Total births: 972 2034 Total births: 972 2033 Total births: 972 2032 Total births: 972 2031 Total births: 972 2030 Total births: 972 2029 Total births: 969 2028 Total births: 966 2027 Total births: 962 2026 Total births: 952 2025 Total births: 939 2024 Total births: 922 2023 Total births: 900 2022 Total births: 865 2021 Total births: 819 2020 Total births: 770 2019 Total births: 720 2018 Total births: 665 2017 Total births: 610 2036 Natural increase: 564 2035 Natural increase: 566 2034 Natural increase: 568 2033 Natural increase: 570 2032 Natural increase: 572 2031 Natural increase: 574 2030 Natural increase: 575 2029 Natural increase: 574 2028 Natural increase: 573 2027 Natural increase: 571 2026 Natural increase: 564 2025 Natural increase: 553 2024 Natural increase: 539 2023 Natural increase: 519 2022 Natural increase: 488 2021 Natural increase: 449 2020 Natural increase: 407 2019 Natural increase: 362 2018 Natural increase: 315 2017 Natural increase: 264 2036 Total deaths: 408 2035 Total deaths: 406 2034 Total deaths: 405 2033 Total deaths: 402 2032 Total deaths: 400 2031 Total deaths: 398 2030 Total deaths: 397 2029 Total deaths: 395 2028 Total deaths: 393 2027 Total deaths: 391 2026 Total deaths: 388 2025 Total deaths: 386 2024 Total deaths: 383 2023 Total deaths: 381 2022 Total deaths: 376 2021 Total deaths: 370 2020 Total deaths: 363 2019 Total deaths: 358 2018 Total deaths: 350 2017 Total deaths: 346 2036 Total births: 972 2035 Total births: 972 2034 Total births: 972 2033 Total births: 972 2032 Total births: 972 2031 Total births: 972 2030 Total births: 972 2029 Total births: 969 2028 Total births: 966 2027 Total births: 962 2026 Total births: 952 2025 Total births: 939 2024 Total births: 922 2023 Total births: 900 2022 Total births: 865 2021 Total births: 819 2020 Total births: 770 2019 Total births: 720 2018 Total births: 665 2017 Total births: 610
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: -399 2035 Total net migration: -236 2034 Total net migration: -233 2033 Total net migration: -240 2032 Total net migration: -223 2031 Total net migration: -240 2030 Total net migration: -183 2029 Total net migration: -20 2028 Total net migration: 12 2027 Total net migration: 71 2026 Total net migration: 285 2025 Total net migration: 511 2024 Total net migration: 732 2023 Total net migration: 994 2022 Total net migration: 1,478 2021 Total net migration: 2,036 2020 Total net migration: 2,141 2019 Total net migration: 2,170 2018 Total net migration: 2,294 2017 Total net migration: 2,428 2036 Total out migration: 6,767 2035 Total out migration: 6,749 2034 Total out migration: 6,730 2033 Total out migration: 6,711 2032 Total out migration: 6,687 2031 Total out migration: 6,666 2030 Total out migration: 6,637 2029 Total out migration: 6,585 2028 Total out migration: 6,527 2027 Total out migration: 6,453 2026 Total out migration: 6,365 2025 Total out migration: 6,252 2024 Total out migration: 6,111 2023 Total out migration: 5,943 2022 Total out migration: 5,683 2021 Total out migration: 5,403 2020 Total out migration: 5,109 2019 Total out migration: 4,806 2018 Total out migration: 4,505 2017 Total out migration: 4,137 2036 Total in migration: 6,368 2035 Total in migration: 6,513 2034 Total in migration: 6,496 2033 Total in migration: 6,471 2032 Total in migration: 6,464 2031 Total in migration: 6,427 2030 Total in migration: 6,453 2029 Total in migration: 6,565 2028 Total in migration: 6,539 2027 Total in migration: 6,524 2026 Total in migration: 6,650 2025 Total in migration: 6,764 2024 Total in migration: 6,843 2023 Total in migration: 6,937 2022 Total in migration: 7,161 2021 Total in migration: 7,439 2020 Total in migration: 7,250 2019 Total in migration: 6,975 2018 Total in migration: 6,799 2017 Total in migration: 6,565 2036 Total net migration: -399 2035 Total net migration: -236 2034 Total net migration: -233 2033 Total net migration: -240 2032 Total net migration: -223 2031 Total net migration: -240 2030 Total net migration: -183 2029 Total net migration: -20 2028 Total net migration: 12 2027 Total net migration: 71 2026 Total net migration: 285 2025 Total net migration: 511 2024 Total net migration: 732 2023 Total net migration: 994 2022 Total net migration: 1,478 2021 Total net migration: 2,036 2020 Total net migration: 2,141 2019 Total net migration: 2,170 2018 Total net migration: 2,294 2017 Total net migration: 2,428 2036 Total out migration: 6,767 2035 Total out migration: 6,749 2034 Total out migration: 6,730 2033 Total out migration: 6,711 2032 Total out migration: 6,687 2031 Total out migration: 6,666 2030 Total out migration: 6,637 2029 Total out migration: 6,585 2028 Total out migration: 6,527 2027 Total out migration: 6,453 2026 Total out migration: 6,365 2025 Total out migration: 6,252 2024 Total out migration: 6,111 2023 Total out migration: 5,943 2022 Total out migration: 5,683 2021 Total out migration: 5,403 2020 Total out migration: 5,109 2019 Total out migration: 4,806 2018 Total out migration: 4,505 2017 Total out migration: 4,137 2036 Total in migration: 6,368 2035 Total in migration: 6,513 2034 Total in migration: 6,496 2033 Total in migration: 6,471 2032 Total in migration: 6,464 2031 Total in migration: 6,427 2030 Total in migration: 6,453 2029 Total in migration: 6,565 2028 Total in migration: 6,539 2027 Total in migration: 6,524 2026 Total in migration: 6,650 2025 Total in migration: 6,764 2024 Total in migration: 6,843 2023 Total in migration: 6,937 2022 Total in migration: 7,161 2021 Total in migration: 7,439 2020 Total in migration: 7,250 2019 Total in migration: 6,975 2018 Total in migration: 6,799 2017 Total in migration: 6,565
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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