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City of BanyulePopulation forecast

South Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for South Precinct indicate a 0.5% decrease in females under working age, a 52.9% increase in females of retirement age, and a 24.2% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Banyule is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
South Precinct - Total females202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44694.25503.96143.7+145
5 to 95575.05443.96083.6+51
10 to 146565.95804.26233.7-33
15 to 196756.16955.06974.2+22
20 to 247246.59496.89765.8+252
25 to 296976.38896.41,0076.0+310
30 to 346836.28776.31,0346.2+352
35 to 397306.69616.91,1076.6+377
40 to 447006.31,1218.01,2127.2+512
45 to 497326.69446.81,0306.1+298
50 to 548017.27625.51,0086.0+206
55 to 597997.28556.11,1566.9+357
60 to 647196.59676.91,1656.9+447
65 to 696065.59386.71,0026.0+395
70 to 745745.26935.08224.9+248
75 to 793543.25213.77774.6+423
80 to 842432.25373.87294.3+485
85 and over3693.35924.21,2127.2+843
Total persons11,089100.013,974100.016,778100.0+5,689
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in South Precinct was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 7.2% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 421 and account for 8.0% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 1,121 females.

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