City of Greater SheppartonPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Greater Shepparton

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Greater Shepparton is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Greater Shepparton depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Relatively stable migration profile expected across the 2016-2026 period
  • A range of new housing opportunities across the Council area, which are expected to predominantly attract young families
  • Loss of young adults, many of whom are leaving the family home after completing secondary education
  • Small overall loss of 'empty-nester' and retiree age groups (55-69 years)
  • Gain of the elderly (85 years +)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 296 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 2 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -33 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -28 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -67 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -113 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -58 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 45 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 174 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 317 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 398 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 458 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 482 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 189 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -484 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 104 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 320 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 370 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 256 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -5 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -39 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -39 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -102 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -119 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -114 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 16 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 148 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 429 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 511 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 441 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 457 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 204 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -442 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 163 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 401 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 429 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 296 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 2 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -33 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -28 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -67 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -113 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -58 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 45 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 174 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 317 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 398 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 458 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 482 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 189 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -484 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 104 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 320 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 370 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 256 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -5 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -39 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -39 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -102 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -119 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -114 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 16 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 148 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 429 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 511 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 441 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 457 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 204 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -442 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 163 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 401 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 429
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
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