City of Greater SheppartonPopulation forecast
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City of Greater Shepparton

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2021, the age structure forecasts for the City of Greater Shepparton indicate a 16.0% increase in population under working age, a 32.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 10.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Greater Shepparton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Greater Shepparton - Total persons201120212036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 4,3667.15,1797.35,8857.0+1,519
5 to 9 4,1376.75,1067.25,9297.1+1,792
10 to 14 4,5747.44,8806.95,7986.9+1,224
15 to 19 4,4767.24,3266.15,1956.2+719
20 to 24 3,8196.24,2456.04,6885.6+869
25 to 29 3,8426.24,5436.44,8995.8+1,057
30 to 34 3,5765.84,5446.45,1336.1+1,556
35 to 39 4,0946.64,6816.65,4956.6+1,401
40 to 44 4,3117.04,4306.35,4126.5+1,100
45 to 49 4,2386.94,5486.45,3186.3+1,080
50 to 54 4,1366.74,4196.25,0106.0+875
55 to 59 3,8296.24,1345.84,6275.5+797
60 to 64 3,3495.43,8005.44,2855.1+936
65 to 69 2,6504.33,3894.83,9614.7+1,312
70 to 74 2,0963.42,9264.13,5994.3+1,503
75 to 79 1,6922.72,2733.23,2263.9+1,534
80 to 84 1,3212.11,6412.32,6023.1+1,282
85 and over1,2532.01,7282.42,7193.2+1,466
Total persons61,759100.070,790100.083,782100.0+22,023

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2015.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 2,719 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 2,602 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 3,226 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 3,599 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 3,961 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 4,285 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 4,627 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 5,010 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 5,318 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 5,412 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 5,495 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 5,133 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 4,899 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 4,688 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 5,195 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 5,798 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 5,929 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 5,885 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2021: 1,728 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2021: 1,641 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2021: 2,273 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2021: 2,926 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2021: 3,389 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2021: 3,800 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2021: 4,134 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2021: 4,419 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2021: 4,548 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2021: 4,430 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2021: 4,681 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2021: 4,544 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2021: 4,543 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2021: 4,245 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2021: 4,326 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2021: 4,880 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2021: 5,106 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2021: 5,179 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 1,253 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 1,321 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 1,692 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 2,096 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 2,650 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 3,349 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 3,829 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 4,136 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 4,238 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 4,311 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 4,094 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 3,576 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 3,842 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 3,819 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 4,476 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 4,574 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 4,137 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 4,366
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2015.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2036: 991 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2036: 961 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2036: 952 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2036: 674 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2036: 573 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2036: 485 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2036: 493 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2036: 591 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2036: 770 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2036: 982 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2036: 815 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2036: 589 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2036: 357 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2036: 442 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2036: 870 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2036: 918 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2036: 823 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2036: 706 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2021: 475 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2021: 320 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2021: 582 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2021: 830 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2021: 739 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2021: 451 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2021: 304 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2021: 283 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2021: 310 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2021: 119 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2021: 586 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2021: 967 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2021: 700 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2021: 427 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2021: -150 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2021: 306 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2021: 968 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2021: 813
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, August 2015.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Greater Shepparton was ages 10 to 14 , which accounted for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2021 is forecast to be in ages 5 to 9 , which is expected to increase by 968 and account for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2021 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 5,179 persons.

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