City of Greater SheppartonPopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

City of Greater Shepparton

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Greater Shepparton indicate a 20.0% increase in population under working age, a 26.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 9.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Greater Shepparton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Greater Shepparton - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 4,4646.95,3547.25,8517.0+1,387
5 to 9 4,5477.05,3727.25,9027.1+1,355
10 to 14 4,1756.45,1006.85,7576.9+1,582
15 to 19 4,4396.84,5696.15,1416.2+702
20 to 24 3,8195.94,0875.54,6335.6+814
25 to 29 4,2296.54,5736.14,8725.9+643
30 to 34 4,0806.34,6926.35,0816.1+1,001
35 to 39 3,7505.85,0016.75,4646.6+1,714
40 to 44 4,1526.44,8016.45,3476.4+1,196
45 to 49 4,2806.64,4646.05,2876.4+1,007
50 to 54 4,2946.64,4005.94,9686.0+674
55 to 59 4,1156.34,2385.74,5085.4+393
60 to 64 3,7735.83,9685.34,2075.1+433
65 to 69 3,4525.33,6604.93,9124.7+460
70 to 74 2,6254.03,2844.43,6284.4+1,003
75 to 79 2,0193.12,8733.93,2613.9+1,242
80 to 84 1,3972.12,0322.72,6463.2+1,249
85 and over1,4682.32,0092.72,7683.3+1,301
Total persons65,079100.074,476100.083,234100.0+18,155

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 2,768 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 2,646 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 3,261 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 3,628 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 3,912 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 4,207 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 4,508 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 4,968 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 5,287 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 5,347 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 5,464 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 5,081 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 4,872 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 4,633 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 5,141 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 5,757 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 5,902 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 5,851 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 2,009 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 2,032 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 2,873 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 3,284 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 3,660 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 3,968 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 4,238 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 4,400 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 4,464 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 4,801 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 5,001 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 4,692 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 4,573 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 4,087 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 4,569 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 5,100 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 5,372 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 5,354 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,468 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,397 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 2,019 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 2,625 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 3,452 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 3,773 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 4,115 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 4,294 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 4,280 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 4,152 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 3,750 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 4,080 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 4,229 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 3,819 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 4,439 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 4,175 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 4,547 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 4,464
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 759 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 614 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 388 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 344 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 252 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 239 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 270 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 568 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 823 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 547 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 463 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 390 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 299 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 546 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 572 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 657 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 530 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 497 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 541 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 635 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 854 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 659 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 207 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 194 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 123 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 106 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 183 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 649 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,251 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 612 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 345 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 268 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 130 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 925 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 825 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 890
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Greater Shepparton was ages 5 to 9 , which accounted for 7.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39 , which is expected to increase by 1,251 and account for 6.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 5,372 persons.

v17.11.15-1.0.1