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City of CaseyPopulation forecast

Devon Meadows PSP

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Devon Meadows PSP indicate a 8133.3% increase in population under working age, a 878.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5447.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Casey is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Devon Meadows PSP - Total persons202120362046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 431.693411.41,2959.6+1,292
5 to 9106.36287.61,2699.4+1,259
10 to 14116.44145.01,0477.7+1,037
15 to 19105.93504.37495.5+739
20 to 24105.97819.56634.9+653
25 to 2974.21,25415.39707.2+963
30 to 3474.41,15114.01,38510.2+1,377
35 to 3974.57118.61,50711.1+1,499
40 to 44127.45006.11,2129.0+1,199
45 to 49148.33514.38526.3+838
50 to 54169.73243.96554.8+639
55 to 59127.12793.45454.0+533
60 to 64116.41792.24623.4+451
65 to 6995.61341.63462.6+337
70 to 74148.1841.02361.7+222
75 to 79105.8690.81681.2+159
80 to 8431.6410.51070.8+104
85 and over10.8340.4610.5+60
Total persons167100.08,218100.013,528100.0+13,361
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), October 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Devon Meadows PSP was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 9.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 1,247 and account for 15.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2036 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,254 persons.

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