City of CaseyPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Casey

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Casey is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Casey depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Substantial new housing opportunities in the major growth areas, namely Berwick (South), Botanic Ridge-Junction Village, Cranbourne North, Cranbourne East, Cranbourne West, Clyde North and the Clyde Growth Area which are expected to attract predominantly young couples, and young and established families
  • Gain in young adults (18-24 years) in established areas such as Doveton-Eumemmerring, Hallam (both suburbs having a diversity of housing stock) and Hampton Park
  • Gain in mature and older families in the rural residential areas of the City such as Casey Foothills and Casey Coast
  • Loss of empty nesters and early retirees (55-69 years), increasing over the period as households that moved in during earlier periods of the City's development age and become empty nester households, with a proportion accessing lifestyle options elsewhere
  • Small gain of older persons (70+ years) in established areas, becoming a small loss in the later period

Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 32 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -2 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -180 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -354 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -795 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -769 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -738 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -729 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -51 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 473 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,619 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 4,399 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 5,167 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 3,492 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 671 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 101 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 1,689 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 3,212 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 96 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 179 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 25 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -273 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -515 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -519 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -660 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -296 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 268 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,102 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 1,794 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 4,666 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 5,546 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,851 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,181 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 960 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 2,544 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 3,852 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 32 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -2 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -180 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -354 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -795 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -769 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -738 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -729 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -51 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 473 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,619 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 4,399 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 5,167 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 3,492 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 671 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 101 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 1,689 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 3,212 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 96 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 179 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 25 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -273 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -515 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -519 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -660 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -296 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 268 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,102 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 1,794 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 4,666 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 5,546 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,851 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,181 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 960 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 2,544 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 3,852
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
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