City of BaysidePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Bayside

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in the City of Bayside is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Bayside is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
City of Bayside - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)5,5525.46,1165.46,3555.4+803
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)9,9069.69,5748.59,9148.4+8
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)8,2208.08,5277.68,6647.3+444
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)7,9027.79,2108.29,1527.7+1,250
Young workforce (25 to 34)9,2749.010,6009.411,1769.4+1,902
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)21,77921.222,95920.424,02820.3+2,249
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)14,99214.615,43713.715,44113.0+449
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)11,58611.313,06311.613,51011.4+1,924
Seniors (70 to 84)9,8729.613,68912.115,79513.3+5,923
Elderly aged (85 and over)3,6543.63,6203.24,5563.8+902
Total persons102,737100.0112,795100.0118,590100.0+15,853

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 4,556 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2036: 15,795 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2036: 13,510 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2036: 15,441 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2036: 24,028 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2036: 11,176 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2036: 9,152 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2036: 8,664 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2036: 9,914 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 6,355 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 3,620 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026: 13,689 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026: 13,063 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026: 15,437 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026: 22,959 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026: 10,600 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026: 9,210 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026: 8,527 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026: 9,574 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 6,116 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 3,654 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 9,872 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 11,586 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 14,992 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 21,779 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 9,274 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 7,902 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 8,220 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 9,906 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 5,552
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 937 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2026 to 2036: 2,106 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2026 to 2036: 446 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,069 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2026 to 2036: 576 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2026 to 2036: -58 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2026 to 2036: 137 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2026 to 2036: 340 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 239 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -35 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2026: 3,817 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2026: 1,477 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2026: 445 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2026: 1,180 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2026: 1,326 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2026: 1,308 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2026: 307 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2026: -332 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 564
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In the City of Bayside between 2016 and 2026, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 539 (2.3%), and will comprise 21.5% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 5,260 (20.9%) and comprise 26.9% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2026 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 22,959 persons.

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