City of BaysidePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Bayside

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Bayside is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Bayside depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Generally consistent migration profile across the 2016-2026 period
  • Attraction of young and mature families (0-14 and 30-44 years)
  • Loss of young adults (18-24 years) seeking affordable housing or areas closer to education and entertainment
  • Some loss of mature families and early retirees/retirees (15-19 and 50-64 years)
  • Gain of older persons (80+ years) as a result of aged care expansion and development of independent living units
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 455 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -12 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -114 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -108 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -207 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -372 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -539 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -461 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 71 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 858 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,684 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 957 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -518 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -1,083 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -353 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 121 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 518 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 732 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 472 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 144 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 46 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -79 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -100 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -217 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -459 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -313 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 50 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,459 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 2,348 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,544 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -54 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -577 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -61 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 212 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 792 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 1,146 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 455 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -12 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -114 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -108 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -207 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -372 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -539 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -461 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 71 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 858 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,684 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 957 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -518 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -1,083 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -353 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 121 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 518 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 732 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 472 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 144 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 46 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -79 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -100 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -217 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -459 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -313 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 50 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 1,459 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 2,348 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,544 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: -54 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -577 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -61 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 212 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 792 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 1,146
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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