City of BaysidePopulation forecast
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City of Bayside

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Bayside is 35-39 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Bayside depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Generally consistent migration profile across the 2011-2026 period
  • Attraction of young and mature families (0-14 and 30-44 years)
  • Loss of young adults (18-24 years) seeking affordable housing or areas closer to education and entertainment
  • Some loss of mature families and early retirees/retirees (15-19 and 50-64 years)
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 419 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -23 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -106 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -113 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -190 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -339 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -504 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -450 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -26 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 862 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,698 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 940 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -514 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -1,076 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -329 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 122 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 507 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 749 0 2016 to 2021: 463 0 2016 to 2021: 116 0 2016 to 2021: 35 0 2016 to 2021: -74 0 2016 to 2021: -113 0 2016 to 2021: -205 0 2016 to 2021: -422 0 2016 to 2021: -258 0 2016 to 2021: 66 0 2016 to 2021: 1,242 0 2016 to 2021: 2,341 0 2016 to 2021: 1,560 0 2016 to 2021: -122 0 2016 to 2021: -592 0 2016 to 2021: -66 0 2016 to 2021: 258 0 2016 to 2021: 802 0 2016 to 2021: 1,120 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 365 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 108 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 87 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 43 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -89 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -112 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -304 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -210 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 228 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 1,104 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 2,261 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 1,411 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -321 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -841 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 102 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 439 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 788 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 1,202 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 419 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -23 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -106 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -113 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -190 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -339 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -504 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -450 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -26 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 862 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 1,698 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 940 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: -514 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -1,076 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -329 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 122 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 507 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 749 0 2016 to 2021: 463 0 2016 to 2021: 116 0 2016 to 2021: 35 0 2016 to 2021: -74 0 2016 to 2021: -113 0 2016 to 2021: -205 0 2016 to 2021: -422 0 2016 to 2021: -258 0 2016 to 2021: 66 0 2016 to 2021: 1,242 0 2016 to 2021: 2,341 0 2016 to 2021: 1,560 0 2016 to 2021: -122 0 2016 to 2021: -592 0 2016 to 2021: -66 0 2016 to 2021: 258 0 2016 to 2021: 802 0 2016 to 2021: 1,120 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 365 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: 108 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: 87 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: 43 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -89 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -112 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -304 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -210 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: 228 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: 1,104 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 2,261 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 1,411 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: -321 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: -841 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 102 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 439 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: 788 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: 1,202
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2015.
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