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City of BanyulePopulation forecast

North East Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for North East Precinct indicate a 6.0% decrease in population under working age, a 21.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Banyule is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
North East Precinct - Total persons202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0335.81,0225.41,0145.3-19
5 to 91,3027.31,1186.01,0625.5-239
10 to 141,1696.61,1546.11,1255.8-43
15 to 199415.31,2566.71,1476.0+207
20 to 248454.71,0765.71,0585.5+213
25 to 297814.48014.38204.3+39
30 to 349315.28684.69194.8-12
35 to 391,2156.81,0675.71,0965.7-119
40 to 441,3477.61,2436.61,1606.0-187
45 to 491,2607.11,3677.31,2416.4-20
50 to 541,1606.51,3407.11,3366.9+175
55 to 591,1416.41,2076.41,3256.9+184
60 to 641,2457.01,0595.61,2166.3-29
65 to 691,2146.89204.91,0495.4-165
70 to 748965.09705.29685.0+72
75 to 796763.89164.99094.7+233
80 to 843512.07293.97413.8+391
85 and over3081.76503.51,0825.6+774
Total persons17,814100.018,761100.019,268100.0+1,454
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in North East Precinct was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 80 to 84, which is expected to increase by 378 and account for 3.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 45 to 49 years, with a total of 1,367 persons.

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