City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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Box Hill South

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Box Hill South is 'Seniors (70 to 84)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Box Hill South - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)4865.54995.24935.0+7
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)7638.67347.67287.4-35
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)6687.57567.87517.6+83
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1,16413.11,21712.61,19912.2+35
Young workforce (25 to 34)1,22413.81,31213.61,30113.2+77
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)1,76419.91,75118.11,74617.8-18
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)1,09312.31,15912.01,15511.7+62
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)7878.997910.198010.0+193
Seniors (70 to 84)6817.71,02010.51,17211.9+491
Elderly aged (85 and over)2392.72422.53063.1+67
Total persons8,869100.09,669100.09,831100.0+962

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 306 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2041: 1,172 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2041: 980 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2041: 1,155 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2041: 1,746 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2041: 1,301 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2041: 1,199 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2041: 751 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2041: 728 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 493 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 242 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2031: 1,020 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2031: 979 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2031: 1,159 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2031: 1,751 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2031: 1,312 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2031: 1,217 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2031: 756 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2031: 734 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 499 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 239 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 681 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 787 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 1,093 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 1,764 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 1,224 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 1,164 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 668 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 763 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 486
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 64 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2031 to 2041: 152 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2031 to 2041: 1 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2031 to 2041: -4 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2031 to 2041: -5 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2031 to 2041: -11 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2031 to 2041: -18 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2031 to 2041: -5 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2031 to 2041: -6 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: -6 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 3 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2031: 339 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2031: 192 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2031: 66 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2031: -13 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2031: 88 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2031: 53 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2031: 88 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2031: -29 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 13
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In Box Hill South between 2016 and 2031, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 72 (3.8%), and will comprise 20.6% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 534 (31.3%) and comprise 23.2% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2031 is 'Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)', with a total of 1,751 persons.

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