City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast
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Box Hill

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure category with the greatest increase in persons in Box Hill is 'Young workforce (25 to 34)'.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Whitehorse is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Box Hill - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)5514.61,1994.81,3424.6+791
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)5634.79994.01,1874.1+624
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)6395.31,3005.21,5225.3+883
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)2,14417.94,89619.65,29918.3+3,155
Young workforce (25 to 34)2,98925.06,51226.07,05824.4+4,069
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)2,04617.14,38317.55,07417.5+3,028
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)1,1589.71,9437.82,4258.4+1,267
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)7856.61,4705.91,7946.2+1,009
Seniors (70 to 84)7866.61,7026.82,3208.0+1,534
Elderly aged (85 and over)3092.66112.48943.1+585
Total persons11,970100.025,015100.028,913100.0+16,943

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, March 2019.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Forecast age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 894 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2041: 2,320 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2041: 1,794 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2041: 2,425 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2041: 5,074 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2041: 7,058 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2041: 5,299 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2041: 1,522 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2041: 1,187 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 1,342 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 611 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2031: 1,702 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2031: 1,470 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2031: 1,943 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2031: 4,383 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2031: 6,512 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2031: 4,896 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2031: 1,300 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2031: 999 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 1,199 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 309 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016: 786 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016: 785 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016: 1,158 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016: 2,046 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016: 2,989 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016: 2,144 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016: 639 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016: 563 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 551
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups
Forecast change in age structure - Service age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 283 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2031 to 2041: 618 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2031 to 2041: 324 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2031 to 2041: 482 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2031 to 2041: 691 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2031 to 2041: 546 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2031 to 2041: 403 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2031 to 2041: 222 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2031 to 2041: 188 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 142 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 302 Forecast persons aged 70-84,  2016 to 2031: 916 Forecast persons aged 60-69,  2016 to 2031: 685 Forecast persons aged 50-59,  2016 to 2031: 785 Forecast persons aged 35-49,  2016 to 2031: 2,337 Forecast persons aged 25-34,  2016 to 2031: 3,523 Forecast persons aged 18-24,  2016 to 2031: 2,752 Forecast persons aged 12-17,  2016 to 2031: 661 Forecast persons aged 5-11,  2016 to 2031: 436 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 648
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, March 2019.

Key findings

In Box Hill between 2016 and 2031, the number of persons aged under 17 is forecast to increase by 1,745 (99.5%), and will comprise 14.0% of the total population.

The number of persons aged over 60 is expected to increase by 1,903 (101.2%) and comprise 15.1% of the total population.

The largest service age group in 2031 is 'Young workforce (25 to 34)', with a total of 6,512 persons.

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