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City of WhitehorsePopulation forecast

Box Hill

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Box Hill indicate a 77.7% increase in population under working age, a 98.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 100.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Box Hill is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Box Hill - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)5514.61,1004.61,3334.6+782
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)5634.79384.01,1704.1+607
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)6395.31,2765.41,5195.3+880
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)2,14417.94,79520.25,38318.7+3,239
Young workforce (25 to 34)2,98925.06,15926.07,11624.8+4,127
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)2,04617.14,02217.04,98017.3+2,934
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)1,1589.71,7957.62,3408.2+1,182
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)7856.61,4015.91,7276.0+942
Seniors (70 to 84)7866.61,6136.82,2687.9+1,482
Elderly aged (85 and over)3092.65862.58823.1+573
Total persons11,970100.023,686100.028,718100.0+16,748
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2021.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Box Hill was ages Young workforce (25 to 34), which accounted for 25.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages Young workforce (25 to 34), which is expected to increase by 3,170 and account for 26.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is Young workforce (25 to 34) years, with a total of 6,159 persons.

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