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Wagga Wagga City CouncilPopulation forecast

Estella - University

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2025, the age structure forecasts for Estella - University indicate a 7.1% increase in males under working age, a 82.3% increase in males of retirement age, and a 22.3% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Wagga Wagga City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Estella - University - Total males202120252036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42189.92077.53398.1+121
5 to 91536.91646.02846.8+131
10 to 141516.81886.92485.9+97
15 to 191295.82198.02947.1+165
20 to 2424911.333012.042410.2+175
25 to 2925611.61997.33187.6+62
30 to 3428512.91927.02546.1-31
35 to 391697.61886.92365.7+67
40 to 441406.31666.02646.4+124
45 to 49823.71304.72496.0+167
50 to 54793.61515.52255.4+146
55 to 59703.21254.62024.8+132
60 to 64301.41214.41924.6+162
65 to 69200.9973.51714.1+151
70 to 74472.1843.11523.7+105
75 to 79391.8742.71443.5+105
80 to 84431.9421.5842.0+41
85 and over492.2642.3811.9+32
Total persons2,209100.02,742100.04,162100.0+1,952
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Estella - University was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 12.9% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2025 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 90 and account for 8.0% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2025 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 330 males.

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