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Sutherland Shire CouncilPopulation forecast

Caringbah

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Caringbah indicate a 3.4% increase in males under working age, a 10.8% increase in males of retirement age, and a 13.7% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Sutherland Shire Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Caringbah - Total males202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44777.64436.45406.5+63
5 to 94006.44476.44875.8+87
10 to 143655.93945.74435.3+78
15 to 193325.33955.74715.7+139
20 to 243756.04746.85736.9+197
25 to 295008.05978.67248.7+224
30 to 345388.66068.77338.8+195
35 to 394917.95387.86497.8+158
40 to 444417.14897.15847.0+144
45 to 494707.54636.75556.7+85
50 to 543956.34796.95336.4+138
55 to 593415.53855.54705.6+129
60 to 642754.43014.33954.7+120
65 to 692353.82623.83223.9+87
70 to 742303.72283.32863.4+56
75 to 791642.62022.92382.9+74
80 to 841091.81201.71611.9+52
85 and over971.61131.61591.9+62
Total persons6,237100.06,935100.08,324100.0+2,087
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Caringbah was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 8.6% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 99 and account for 6.8% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 606 males.

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