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Strathfield CouncilPopulation forecast

Belfield - Greenacre

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Belfield - Greenacre is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2021 to 2026.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Strathfield Council depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Increase in migration in most age groups over the short term, owing to increased development opportunity, especially along Punchbowl Road
  • Primarily a gain in young adults and smaller childless households (18-34 years) attracted to transport, education, employment opportunities as well as rental housing with higher density development
  • A gain in families (with parents aged 30-49 years) over the inital period to 2021, but thereafter falling to a loss in young families (with children aged 0-9 years) by 2026 and falling further to a net loss in family groups, upgrading elsewhere owing to a lack of affordable and suitable housing opportunities
  • Small gain of empty-nesters and retirees (50-79 years)

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