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City of StonningtonPopulation forecast

South Yarra

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for South Yarra indicate a 20.0% increase in population under working age, a 12.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.2% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Stonnington is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
South Yarra - Total persons[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222036Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47433.39654.21,5785.1+835
5 to 94442.04972.21,2564.1+812
10 to 143811.74191.81,0423.4+661
15 to 197713.47813.41,1823.9+411
20 to 242,79512.52,2419.82,7298.9-66
25 to 294,57720.53,89617.03,54311.5-1,034
30 to 343,54215.83,57415.62,8749.4-668
35 to 391,8838.42,32410.12,1316.9+248
40 to 441,2275.51,5636.82,0266.6+799
45 to 491,0854.91,1314.92,1447.0+1,059
50 to 549744.41,1264.92,2717.4+1,297
55 to 599004.01,0534.62,0876.8+1,187
60 to 647953.68253.61,7135.6+918
65 to 697543.46542.91,2704.1+516
70 to 745042.36662.98792.9+375
75 to 794392.04632.06602.2+221
80 to 842941.33741.66072.0+313
85 and over2421.13491.56972.3+455
Total persons22,350100.022,901100.030,690100.0+8,340
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2023.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for persons in South Yarra was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 20.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 441 and account for 10.1% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2022 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 3,896 persons.

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