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City of RockinghamPopulation forecast

Port Kennedy

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Port Kennedy indicate a 1.1% decrease in population under working age, a 3.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a --% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Rockingham is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Port Kennedy - Total persons[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222036Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49186.68946.49035.7-15
5 to 99726.99656.99846.2+12
10 to 141,2338.81,2308.81,1437.2-90
15 to 191,0517.51,0817.71,1667.4+115
20 to 248986.48816.31,1207.1+222
25 to 298336.08185.88635.5+30
30 to 348836.38656.28285.2-55
35 to 398896.48946.48905.6+1
40 to 448476.18676.29836.2+137
45 to 491,0257.39997.11,0186.5-7
50 to 541,0557.51,0737.79776.2-78
55 to 599686.99586.89265.9-41
60 to 647295.27395.31,0046.4+274
65 to 695233.75303.88955.7+372
70 to 744343.14343.15333.4+99
75 to 793182.33442.54302.7+112
80 to 841901.41991.44412.8+251
85 and over2141.52241.66754.3+460
Total persons13,979100.013,996100.015,779100.0+1,799
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2023.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for persons in Port Kennedy was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 8.8% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 30 and account for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2022 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 1,230 persons.

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