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City of ParramattaPopulation forecast

Melrose Park

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Melrose Park indicate a 3291.7% increase in males under working age, a 46300.0% increase in males of retirement age, and a 2357.1% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Parramatta is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Melrose Park - Total males202120362041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4259.96599.68969.2+872
5 to 972.83885.65795.9+572
10 to 1441.61742.53053.1+301
15 to 1962.41792.62692.8+263
20 to 242610.75518.07187.3+692
25 to 295020.21,12416.31,46315.0+1,413
30 to 346124.51,37920.01,82918.7+1,768
35 to 392610.794113.61,31913.5+1,293
40 to 4483.24526.67187.3+710
45 to 49104.02113.13693.8+359
50 to 54104.01392.02332.4+223
55 to 59124.71271.81972.0+185
60 to 6431.21061.51641.7+161
65 to 6900.0891.31421.4+142
70 to 7400.0981.41461.5+146
75 to 7900.01041.51591.6+159
80 to 8400.0821.21321.3+132
85 and over10.4911.31391.4+138
Total persons248100.06,893100.09,777100.0+9,529
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Melrose Park was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 24.5% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 1,318 and account for 20.0% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2036 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,379 males.

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