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City of ParramattaPopulation forecast

Ermington

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Ermington indicate a 39.8% increase in females under working age, a 66.5% increase in females of retirement age, and a 53.1% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Parramatta is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Ermington - Total females202120362041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43866.25946.26526.4+266
5 to 94417.05505.85915.8+150
10 to 143445.54935.25155.1+171
15 to 192894.64404.64754.7+186
20 to 243175.14875.15055.0+189
25 to 294336.96166.56516.4+217
30 to 345318.57417.87737.6+243
35 to 395058.17718.17967.8+291
40 to 445068.17577.97737.6+268
45 to 494346.97317.67627.5+327
50 to 544126.66837.27367.2+324
55 to 594216.76416.76786.7+257
60 to 643295.35275.55885.8+259
65 to 692844.54434.64934.8+209
70 to 742373.83834.04084.0+172
75 to 791252.02883.03333.3+208
80 to 841292.12222.32522.5+123
85 and over1392.21861.92112.1+72
Total persons6,262100.09,554100.010,194100.0+3,931
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Ermington was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 8.5% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 45 to 49, which is expected to increase by 296 and account for 7.6% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2036 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 771 females.

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