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City of ParramattaPopulation forecast

Ermington

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Ermington indicate a 45.6% increase in males under working age, a 57.6% increase in males of retirement age, and a 52.4% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Parramatta is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Ermington - Total males202120362041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44607.16596.77357.0+274
5 to 94336.76166.26606.3+227
10 to 143795.85775.95975.7+218
15 to 193755.85625.76005.7+225
20 to 244036.25765.86065.8+203
25 to 294547.06877.07236.9+269
30 to 346039.38398.58778.4+274
35 to 395899.18828.99108.7+322
40 to 444887.57968.18187.8+330
45 to 494016.26706.86926.6+292
50 to 543555.55845.96296.0+274
55 to 593755.85535.66145.8+239
60 to 643255.05085.25485.2+223
65 to 693034.74384.44704.5+167
70 to 742393.73413.53703.5+131
75 to 791272.02262.32632.5+136
80 to 841181.81651.71821.7+64
85 and over731.11851.92052.0+132
Total persons6,498100.09,865100.010,499100.0+4,000
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Ermington was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 9.3% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 308 and account for 8.1% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2036 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 882 males.

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