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City of ParramattaPopulation forecast

Northmead

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Northmead indicate a 66.7% increase in males under working age, a 45.2% increase in males of retirement age, and a 69.4% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Parramatta is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Northmead - Total males202120362041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43636.77108.07087.7+345
5 to 93947.35916.66286.8+234
10 to 143536.55496.25826.3+228
15 to 193135.85235.95586.0+245
20 to 242695.04985.64855.3+216
25 to 293125.86046.85485.9+236
30 to 343947.36957.86467.0+252
35 to 394808.97398.37187.8+238
40 to 444398.17057.97237.8+284
45 to 493807.06447.26867.4+306
50 to 543506.55726.46236.7+273
55 to 592685.04715.35305.7+262
60 to 642354.43784.24274.6+191
65 to 692123.93193.63503.8+138
70 to 741883.52472.82923.2+104
75 to 792123.92342.62572.8+45
80 to 84971.81631.81912.1+94
85 and over1362.52643.02793.0+144
Total persons5,396100.08,904100.09,230100.0+3,835
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2022.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Northmead was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 8.9% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 347 and account for 8.0% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2036 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 739 males.

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