City of KnoxPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Knox

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Knox is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Knox depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Attraction of families (0-17 and 30-44 years), owing to some new development opportunities in parts of the City and the regeneration of the established housing stock as suburbs move through the suburb lifecycle and older 'empty-nester' households move out of the family home providing dwellings for families to move into
  • Loss of empty nesters and retirees (50-69 years) moving out, either downsizing or looking for lifestyle opportunities elsewhere
  • Increasing loss of older people through migration over the period (70+ years). Migration of older persons is triggered by the wish to down-size, or to move into retirement complexes; there will also be a sizeable proportion of people of advanced years moving into aged-care
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -67 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -360 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -379 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -274 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -435 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -537 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -378 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -185 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -39 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 160 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 336 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 791 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 940 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 493 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 437 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 298 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 117 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 294 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -4 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -250 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -293 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -253 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -464 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -635 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -412 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -265 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 65 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 191 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 349 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 740 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 760 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 394 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 457 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 303 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 83 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 284 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 61 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -134 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -152 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -179 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -443 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -585 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -498 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -303 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 24 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 485 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 586 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 731 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 398 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -54 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 450 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 485 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 179 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 339 Persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2031: -67 Persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2031: -360 Persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2031: -379 Persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2031: -274 Persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2031: -435 Persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2031: -537 Persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2031: -378 Persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2031: -185 Persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2031: -39 Persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2031: 160 Persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2031: 336 Persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2031: 791 Persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2031: 940 Persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2031: 493 Persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2031: 437 Persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2031: 298 Persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2031: 117 Persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2031: 294 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -4 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -250 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -293 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -253 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -464 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -635 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -412 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -265 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 65 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 191 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 349 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 740 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 760 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 394 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 457 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 303 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 83 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 284 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 61 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -134 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -152 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -179 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -443 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -585 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -498 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -303 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 24 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 485 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 586 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 731 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 398 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -54 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 450 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 485 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 179 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 339
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, May 2018.
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