Glenelg ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Glenelg Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Glenelg Shire is 30-34 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Glenelg Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions influenced by:

  • Stable migration profile expected across the 2016-2026 period
  • Gain of families with younger children (0-9 years)
  • Gain of older adults and retirees (50-69 years)
  • Significant loss of young adults (18-24 years), many of whom are moving to Melbourne, Adelaide and other urban areas for education and employment opportunities.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 59 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -22 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -59 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -47 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 47 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 18 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 64 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 96 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 73 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 68 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 106 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 137 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 60 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -129 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -288 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -4 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 95 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 128 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 33 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -13 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -50 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -31 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 51 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 15 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 25 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 63 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 44 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 63 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 112 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 154 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 52 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -191 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -362 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 1 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 124 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 110 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 59 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -22 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -59 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -47 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 47 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 18 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 64 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 96 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 73 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 68 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 106 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 137 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 60 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -129 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -288 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -4 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 95 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 128 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 33 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -13 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -50 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -31 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 51 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 15 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 25 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 63 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 44 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 63 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 112 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 154 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 52 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -191 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -362 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 1 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 124 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 110
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
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