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Georges River CouncilPopulation forecast

Kogarah

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Kogarah indicate a 67.8% increase in females under working age, a 68.5% increase in females of retirement age, and a 65.1% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Georges River Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Kogarah - Total females202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42065.83916.63665.7+160
5 to 91995.63025.13054.8+106
10 to 141393.92203.72594.1+119
15 to 191143.22524.32754.3+161
20 to 242336.64597.84497.0+215
25 to 2943812.373412.566510.4+226
30 to 3444512.569511.863610.0+191
35 to 3937010.45719.75558.7+185
40 to 442757.74647.94747.4+199
45 to 491564.43425.83996.3+244
50 to 541494.22494.23415.3+192
55 to 591474.11712.92924.6+146
60 to 641674.71803.12624.1+95
65 to 691223.41732.92153.4+93
70 to 74792.21652.81792.8+100
75 to 79852.41422.41842.9+99
80 to 84792.21292.21953.1+116
85 and over1464.12524.33195.0+173
Total persons3,550100.05,890100.06,370100.0+2,820
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), October 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Kogarah was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 12.5% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 296 and account for 12.5% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 734 females.

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