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Fraser Coast Regional CouncilPopulation forecast

Dundowran - Nikenbah Growth Area

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Dundowran - Nikenbah Growth Area indicate a 21.2% decrease in males under working age, a 35.2% increase in males of retirement age, and a 16.6% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Fraser Coast Regional Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Dundowran - Nikenbah Growth Area - Total males[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222046Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)917.9584.51844.3+93
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)13912.01078.32054.8+66
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)11810.21108.51333.1+15
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)585.0725.61744.1+116
Young workforce (25 to 34)978.31058.12345.5+137
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)22519.420916.247911.3+254
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)12210.618614.465315.4+530
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)15313.221816.988420.9+731
Seniors (70 to 84)15613.420816.11,04024.6+884
Elderly aged (85 and over)00.0181.42515.9+251
Total persons1,159100.01,291100.04,236100.0+3,077
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2024.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for males in Dundowran - Nikenbah Growth Area was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 19.4% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59), which is expected to increase by 64 and account for 14.4% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2022 is Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69) years, with a total of 218 males.

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