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Cumberland City CouncilPopulation forecast

Merrylands - Holroyd

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Merrylands - Holroyd indicate a 13.8% increase in males under working age, a 43.3% increase in males of retirement age, and a 33.3% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cumberland City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Merrylands - Holroyd - Total males202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,4748.41,4736.41,6756.2+200
5 to 91,1956.81,3185.71,4935.5+298
10 to 141,0415.91,4306.21,5165.6+474
15 to 199755.51,4126.21,4905.5+515
20 to 241,4278.11,7397.61,8876.9+460
25 to 291,7129.72,0789.12,2408.2+528
30 to 341,76310.02,29210.02,4859.1+721
35 to 391,5228.62,1209.22,4669.1+944
40 to 441,2136.91,9068.32,2038.1+989
45 to 499805.61,6497.22,0137.4+1,033
50 to 548554.91,2165.31,7106.3+855
55 to 599295.39254.01,4375.3+507
60 to 647424.28153.61,2034.4+461
65 to 695963.48193.69363.4+340
70 to 744882.86622.97502.8+262
75 to 793582.04562.05962.2+238
80 to 841911.13231.45021.8+311
85 and over1450.82881.35612.1+417
Total persons17,608100.022,922100.027,161100.0+9,553
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Merrylands - Holroyd was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 10.0% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 693 and account for 8.3% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 2,292 males.

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