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Cumberland City CouncilPopulation forecast

Guildford West - Woodpark - Smithfield

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Guildford West - Woodpark - Smithfield indicate a 22.0% decrease in population under working age, a 56.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 14.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cumberland City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Guildford West - Woodpark - Smithfield - Total persons202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 46068.04785.85035.5-103
5 to 96708.94916.05025.5-168
10 to 146578.75386.55155.7-142
15 to 195497.36327.75926.5+43
20 to 245016.66317.76146.8+113
25 to 295917.85246.45446.0-47
30 to 345977.96087.46377.0+40
35 to 395637.55917.26367.0+73
40 to 444646.15997.36317.0+167
45 to 494506.05686.96136.8+163
50 to 544045.34805.85846.4+180
55 to 594155.54835.96026.6+187
60 to 643394.54425.45385.9+199
65 to 692273.03334.04034.4+176
70 to 741842.42693.33243.6+140
75 to 791512.02192.72853.1+134
80 to 841141.51822.22432.7+129
85 and over741.01732.12983.3+224
Total persons7,556100.08,242100.09,065100.0+1,509
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Guildford West - Woodpark - Smithfield was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 8.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 135 and account for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 632 persons.

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