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Cumberland City CouncilPopulation forecast

Girraween - Toongabbie

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Girraween - Toongabbie indicate a 15.0% decrease in population under working age, a 70.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 18.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cumberland City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Girraween - Toongabbie - Total persons202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47918.16185.58195.3+28
5 to 99619.97216.49326.0-29
10 to 147077.37526.79165.9+209
15 to 194044.26686.07735.0+369
20 to 244724.95965.37294.7+257
25 to 297197.47546.79866.4+267
30 to 348719.09068.11,1947.7+323
35 to 391,28713.31,0479.41,4579.5+170
40 to 449629.99998.91,3408.7+378
45 to 495886.18777.81,1457.4+557
50 to 543693.86936.21,0426.8+673
55 to 593363.55434.99236.0+587
60 to 643173.34383.98175.3+500
65 to 692382.54303.86254.1+387
70 to 742382.54003.65253.4+287
75 to 791831.93012.74322.8+249
80 to 841471.52432.23622.3+215
85 and over1191.22071.83982.6+279
Total persons9,709100.011,191100.015,416100.0+5,707
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Girraween - Toongabbie was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 13.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 50 to 54, which is expected to increase by 324 and account for 6.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 1,047 persons.

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