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Canberra Region Joint Organisation areaPopulation forecast

Canberra Region Joint Organisation area

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Canberra Region Joint Organisation area indicate a 4.5% increase in females under working age, a 13.2% increase in females of retirement age, and a 2.1% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Canberra Region Joint Organisation area is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Canberra Region Joint Organisation area - Total females202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)6,6715.76,9045.67,8025.6+1,131
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)9,6408.210,2998.411,7598.5+2,119
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)8,0946.98,3656.89,5526.9+1,458
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)7,8656.77,9196.48,8136.4+947
Young workforce (25 to 34)12,03510.312,29510.013,7029.9+1,667
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)21,39018.222,37818.225,48918.4+4,099
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)16,60414.216,40813.317,38012.6+776
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)16,29513.916,89213.717,58012.7+1,285
Seniors (70 to 84)15,23913.017,69414.420,93015.1+5,691
Elderly aged (85 and over)3,4382.93,9653.25,4343.9+1,996
Total persons117,271100.0123,118100.0138,440100.0+21,170
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2021.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Canberra Region Joint Organisation area was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 18.2% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages Seniors (70 to 84), which is expected to increase by 2,455 and account for 14.4% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2026 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 22,378 females.

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