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Canberra Region Joint Organisation areaPopulation forecast

Canberra Region Joint Organisation area

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Canberra Region Joint Organisation area indicate a 8.3% increase in population under working age, a 31.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Canberra Region Joint Organisation area is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Canberra Region Joint Organisation area - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 412,8395.714,1745.815,9695.8+3,130
5 to 914,1486.314,9546.116,8576.1+2,709
10 to 1413,6606.114,8996.116,9766.1+3,316
15 to 1913,0425.813,5275.514,9475.4+1,904
20 to 2411,2685.011,3944.612,6214.6+1,354
25 to 2911,8825.311,7984.813,0144.7+1,132
30 to 3412,2185.512,6295.114,1445.1+1,926
35 to 3911,9685.314,2555.815,9995.8+4,031
40 to 4414,2416.415,2966.217,3066.3+3,065
45 to 4915,5406.915,0556.117,5096.3+1,969
50 to 5416,2637.315,8756.417,5496.3+1,286
55 to 5916,8077.516,6366.817,3006.3+493
60 to 6415,8517.117,1026.917,7636.4+1,913
65 to 6915,1236.716,7086.817,4596.3+2,336
70 to 7411,0884.914,6846.016,3265.9+5,238
75 to 797,8413.512,3215.014,2185.1+6,377
80 to 845,1702.38,0903.310,9554.0+5,785
85 and over5,1612.36,7472.79,5803.5+4,419
Total persons224,110100.0246,144100.0276,493100.0+52,382
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Canberra Region Joint Organisation area was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 4,481 and account for 5.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 17,102 persons.

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