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City of Coffs HarbourPopulation forecast

City of Coffs Harbour

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for City of Coffs Harbour indicate a 3.4% increase in population under working age, a 0.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 0.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Coffs Harbour is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
City of Coffs Harbour - Total persons[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222026Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2026
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)4,1525.34,6915.96,2797.4+2,127
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)6,9668.86,8608.67,1548.4+188
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)5,9117.56,0167.56,1997.3+288
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)5,3616.85,5116.96,2237.3+862
Young workforce (25 to 34)8,99611.49,14811.59,93511.6+939
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)14,14218.014,19117.815,41618.1+1,274
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)9,97612.79,99012.510,11311.8+137
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)10,71813.610,72213.410,50812.3-210
Seniors (70 to 84)10,23213.010,44713.111,40313.4+1,171
Elderly aged (85 and over)2,2842.92,2182.82,1392.5-145
Total persons78,738100.079,794100.085,369100.0+6,631
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2023.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for persons in City of Coffs Harbour was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 18.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4), which is expected to increase by 539 and account for 5.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2022 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 14,191 persons.

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