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Coffs Harbour City CouncilPopulation forecast

Coffs Harbour City Council

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Coffs Harbour City Council indicate a 16.0% increase in population under working age, a 28.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 6.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Coffs Harbour City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Coffs Harbour City Council - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 44,4145.95,2026.25,7766.0+1,362
5 to 94,9726.75,6276.76,2536.5+1,281
10 to 144,6646.25,4746.56,3516.6+1,687
15 to 194,4876.05,0266.05,7356.0+1,248
20 to 244,0115.44,0234.84,5784.8+567
25 to 294,0945.54,0464.84,4804.7+386
30 to 344,1185.54,3745.24,7655.0+647
35 to 393,8985.24,8675.85,3765.6+1,478
40 to 444,5596.15,1346.15,8216.1+1,262
45 to 494,7286.35,0125.95,9506.2+1,222
50 to 544,9746.75,3166.36,0326.3+1,058
55 to 595,3967.25,4056.45,9616.2+565
60 to 645,2397.05,4326.46,0136.3+774
65 to 694,8216.55,3946.45,7796.0+958
70 to 743,5284.74,8295.75,3385.6+1,810
75 to 792,8213.83,9734.74,7024.9+1,881
80 to 841,9012.52,6453.13,6643.8+1,763
85 and over2,0162.72,5713.03,5133.7+1,497
Total persons74,641100.084,350100.096,087100.0+21,446
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Coffs Harbour City Council was ages 55 to 59, which accounted for 7.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 1,301 and account for 5.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 5,627 persons.

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