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Coffs Harbour City CouncilPopulation forecast

Coffs Harbour City Council

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Coffs Harbour City Council indicate a 16.8% increase in males under working age, a 29.8% increase in males of retirement age, and a 6.7% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Coffs Harbour City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Coffs Harbour City Council - Total males201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,2436.22,6546.52,9486.3+705
5 to 92,5126.92,8707.03,1916.8+679
10 to 142,3676.52,7926.83,2446.9+877
15 to 192,3056.42,5196.12,8956.2+590
20 to 242,0545.72,0094.92,2984.9+244
25 to 292,0295.62,0204.92,2184.7+189
30 to 341,9845.52,1515.22,3244.9+340
35 to 391,8485.12,3655.82,6085.6+760
40 to 442,1976.12,4305.92,7635.9+566
45 to 492,1756.02,3455.72,8186.0+643
50 to 542,3016.32,5576.22,8896.2+588
55 to 592,5767.12,5876.32,9006.2+324
60 to 642,6417.32,6116.42,9786.3+337
65 to 692,3856.62,6046.32,8196.0+434
70 to 741,7624.92,3935.82,5805.5+818
75 to 791,2993.61,9224.72,2634.8+964
80 to 848682.41,2483.01,7493.7+881
85 and over7532.11,0092.51,4703.1+717
Total persons36,299100.041,087100.046,956100.0+10,657
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for males in Coffs Harbour City Council was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 7.3% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 631 and account for 5.8% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 2,870 males.

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