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City of CockburnPopulation forecast

South Lake - Cockburn Central

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for South Lake - Cockburn Central indicate a 59.4% increase in females under working age, a 203.3% increase in females of retirement age, and a 72.7% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Cockburn is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
South Lake - Cockburn Central - Total females202120362041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)2496.63745.44585.4+209
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)2857.64696.75676.7+282
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)2286.14446.45276.2+299
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)44111.76239.07168.5+275
Young workforce (25 to 34)71419.01,00014.41,19614.2+482
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)72519.31,54322.21,83421.7+1,109
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)47312.682911.91,08112.8+608
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)3539.470910.285710.2+504
Seniors (70 to 84)2386.384712.21,04112.3+803
Elderly aged (85 and over)481.31151.71631.9+115
Total persons3,754100.06,954100.08,441100.0+4,687
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), December 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in South Lake - Cockburn Central was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 19.3% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which is expected to increase by 818 and account for 22.2% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2036 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 1,543 females.

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