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Cessnock City CouncilPopulation forecast

Buchanan - Mulbring & Surrounds

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Buchanan - Mulbring & Surrounds is forecast to grow from 699 in 2021 to 765 in 2046, with the average household size falling from 2.97 to 2.61 by 2046.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Cessnock City Council. The period 2021 to 2031, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Buchanan - Mulbring & SurroundsForecast year
Summary202120262031203620412046
Population1,9441,8761,7761,7551,7571,757
Change in population (5yrs)---68-100-2120
Average annual change---0.71%-1.09%-0.24%0.02%-0.01%
Households653638624635655672
Average household size2.972.932.842.762.672.61
Population in non private dwellings455556
Dwellings699706712721751765
Dwelling occupancy rate93.4290.3787.6488.0787.2287.84
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), April 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the total population of Buchanan - Mulbring & Surrounds was estimated to be 1,944 people. It is expected to decrease by over 168 people to 1,776 by 2031, at an average annual growth rate of -0.90%. This is based on a loss of over 29 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.97 to 2.84 by 2031.

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