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Central Coast NSWPopulation forecast

Toukley District

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Toukley District indicate a 1.8% decrease in population under working age, a 0.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1.2% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Central Coast NSW is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

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Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Toukley District - Total persons[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222026Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2026
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45615.65525.65505.4-11
5 to 95405.45265.36035.9+63
10 to 145405.45345.46596.5+119
15 to 194714.74804.95665.5+95
20 to 245085.15055.14154.1-93
25 to 295845.95705.85335.2-51
30 to 345265.35165.25085.0-18
35 to 395425.45345.44864.8-56
40 to 444874.94904.94594.5-28
45 to 495615.65395.44554.5-106
50 to 546036.06076.17127.0+109
55 to 596526.56286.37157.0+63
60 to 647047.17027.17637.5+59
65 to 696696.76686.87137.0+44
70 to 746646.76496.66486.3-16
75 to 795275.35585.66336.2+106
80 to 843903.93954.04064.0+16
85 and over4394.44434.53973.9-42
Total persons9,968100.09,897100.010,220100.0+252
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2024.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for persons in Toukley District was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 7.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 31 and account for 5.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2022 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 702 persons.

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