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Central Coast NSWPopulation forecast

Warnervale - Wadalba District

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Warnervale - Wadalba District indicate a 46.5% increase in females under working age, a 32.9% increase in females of retirement age, and a 45.7% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Central Coast NSW is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

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Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Warnervale - Wadalba District - Total females202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47497.21,1147.41,5266.8+776
5 to 97977.61,2238.11,7367.8+939
10 to 149068.71,2548.41,8888.5+982
15 to 197196.91,0426.91,6387.3+920
20 to 245985.78275.51,2555.6+657
25 to 296276.09646.41,3005.8+673
30 to 347046.71,1327.51,5637.0+859
35 to 397697.41,1767.81,7207.7+951
40 to 447897.61,1427.61,7047.6+915
45 to 497337.09586.41,5296.9+796
50 to 545655.47785.21,2295.5+664
55 to 594764.66694.51,0174.6+542
60 to 644073.96174.19504.3+543
65 to 693873.75273.58433.8+456
70 to 744013.85043.47953.6+394
75 to 793193.14463.06583.0+339
80 to 842272.23362.25062.3+279
85 and over2602.53052.04362.0+176
Total persons10,433100.015,014100.022,294100.0+11,861
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Warnervale - Wadalba District was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 8.7% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 427 and account for 7.5% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 1,254 females.

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