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Central Coast NSWPopulation forecast

Warnervale - Wadalba District

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Warnervale - Wadalba District indicate a 27.3% increase in males under working age, a 19.4% increase in males of retirement age, and a 39.9% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Central Coast NSW is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

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Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Warnervale - Wadalba District - Total males202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)7617.81,1358.71,8998.4+1,137
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)1,11811.51,39810.72,39310.6+1,275
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)1,04810.81,1198.61,8998.4+851
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)9259.51,33410.22,0919.3+1,165
Young workforce (25 to 34)1,16211.91,93114.83,23814.3+2,077
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)2,03120.82,71620.84,93321.8+2,901
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)1,05710.81,38710.62,41810.7+1,361
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)7137.39827.51,6737.4+960
Seniors (70 to 84)7848.09157.01,6997.5+915
Elderly aged (85 and over)1441.51461.13351.5+191
Total persons9,744100.013,062100.022,577100.0+12,833
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Warnervale - Wadalba District was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 20.8% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages Young workforce (25 to 34), which is expected to increase by 769 and account for 14.8% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 2,716 males.

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