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Central Coast NSWPopulation forecast

Peninsula District

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Peninsula District indicate a 3.8% increase in males under working age, a 4.8% decrease in males of retirement age, and a 5.3% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Central Coast NSW is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

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Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Peninsula District - Total males202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,0655.91,1326.11,1626.1+97
5 to 91,1676.41,1206.01,1596.0-8
10 to 141,0195.61,1246.01,1025.8+84
15 to 199245.11,0295.51,0675.6+142
20 to 249465.29645.21,0575.5+111
25 to 298954.99675.29875.2+92
30 to 349415.21,0285.51,0465.5+105
35 to 391,0545.81,1406.11,1836.2+129
40 to 441,0856.01,1746.31,2296.4+144
45 to 491,1486.31,1656.21,2496.5+101
50 to 541,2046.61,2206.51,2716.6+67
55 to 591,1776.51,2426.71,2576.6+80
60 to 641,1866.51,1866.41,2466.5+59
65 to 691,1096.11,1176.01,1676.1+58
70 to 741,1316.29855.31,0215.3-110
75 to 799685.39004.88384.4-130
80 to 846293.56573.55853.1-44
85 and over5322.95012.75432.8+11
Total persons18,179100.018,649100.019,169100.0+989
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Peninsula District was ages 50 to 54, which accounted for 6.6% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 105 and account for 6.0% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 1,242 males.

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