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Camden CouncilPopulation forecast

Oran Park Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Oran Park Precinct indicate a 25.6% increase in males under working age, a 64.0% increase in males of retirement age, and a 32.7% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Camden Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Oran Park Precinct - Total males202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,05413.19869.37336.8-321
5 to 987510.91,20111.38297.7-46
10 to 145797.29639.18608.0+281
15 to 194415.56966.58598.0+418
20 to 244485.65705.47306.8+282
25 to 296668.36936.56155.7-51
30 to 3488511.09619.06926.4-193
35 to 3988711.01,09310.37907.4-97
40 to 446187.79518.98087.5+190
45 to 494445.56796.47987.4+354
50 to 542923.65044.77507.0+458
55 to 591992.53343.16325.9+434
60 to 641922.42502.44754.4+284
65 to 691802.22312.23643.4+184
70 to 741281.61971.92702.5+142
75 to 79861.11381.32102.0+124
80 to 84350.4660.61511.4+116
85 and over270.31161.11751.6+148
Total persons8,035100.010,628100.010,742100.0+2,707
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Oran Park Precinct was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 13.1% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 384 and account for 9.1% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 1,201 males.

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