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City of BrimbankPopulation forecast

Deer Park District

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Deer Park District indicate a 8.3% decrease in females under working age, a 29.4% increase in females of retirement age, and a 2.4% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Brimbank is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Deer Park District - Total females202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,3856.51,4356.51,5216.5+136
5 to 91,6267.61,3476.11,4206.1-206
10 to 141,4736.91,3296.01,4066.0-67
15 to 191,3196.21,4796.71,4246.1+105
20 to 241,3176.21,4796.71,4946.4+177
25 to 291,5617.31,6137.31,7587.6+197
30 to 341,6747.91,6727.61,8177.8+143
35 to 391,8458.71,6547.51,7647.6-81
40 to 441,6497.71,5627.11,6397.1-10
45 to 491,4176.71,4956.81,4636.3+46
50 to 541,3116.21,3616.21,3515.8+40
55 to 591,0775.11,1825.41,2565.4+179
60 to 641,0995.21,1105.01,1695.0+70
65 to 699564.59234.21,0144.4+58
70 to 747383.58543.98883.8+150
75 to 794061.97113.27313.1+325
80 to 842561.24672.15792.5+323
85 and over1780.83251.55472.4+369
Total persons21,287100.021,999100.023,241100.0+1,954
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), July 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Deer Park District was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 8.7% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 305 and account for 3.2% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2031 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 1,672 females.

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