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City of BrimbankPopulation forecast

Sunshine North

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Sunshine North indicate a 40.2% increase in males under working age, a 30.5% increase in males of retirement age, and a 26.2% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Brimbank is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Sunshine North - Total males202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43806.35887.57027.3+322
5 to 93375.64806.15836.1+246
10 to 143295.43995.15225.4+193
15 to 193565.94465.75615.8+205
20 to 244577.56127.87307.6+273
25 to 295899.77489.58979.3+308
30 to 345188.56948.98368.7+318
35 to 394347.25737.36917.2+257
40 to 443335.54706.05816.0+248
45 to 493626.04415.65445.7+182
50 to 543565.94035.15195.4+163
55 to 593866.44445.75355.6+149
60 to 643736.14255.44945.1+121
65 to 692714.53734.84364.5+165
70 to 742003.33023.93533.7+153
75 to 791512.52002.62802.9+129
80 to 841312.21271.61952.0+64
85 and over1041.71161.51541.6+50
Total persons6,067100.07,842100.09,613100.0+3,546
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), July 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Sunshine North was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 9.7% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 208 and account for 7.5% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 748 males.

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